I received an email from the Frederick Run Fest that "Race Day is Only 8 Days Away!". You know, I really don't need reminding. I'm on the brink of going through my race day dry-run this weekend (I could potentially pull up my Sunday run to Saturday since I ran Friday's run yesterday) and the excitment and nervousness is really starting to build. I'm starting to put together the information that my spectators will need to find me, although I haven't picked out my race day outfit yet so that will have to wait until later. But, here's what I do know:
My pace should be about 11:30 minutes per mile. This was my estimated pace for last year, but after everything that that happened, I ended up at 12:01 minutes per mile. I could potentially run as fast as 11:00 minutes per mile, but I'll have to see how this weekend's run goes before I lay out my final estimate. With my Garmin Forerunner 405CX on my wrist, I should be a much better judge of my pace and not go out too fast like I did last year.
My house is around the eight mile mark, so that gives Jeff plenty of time to sleep and be up and out and ready to cheer by 8:58a. With the later start time and later location (our house was around the six mile mark last year), this gives me some incentive to pace the front end of the race properly and still look strong at that point. I wouldn't want to disappoint my fans! It was around the eight mile mark last year that things starting to melt down for me. Here's the pace chart:
The current weather prediction is an overnight low of 51ºF, 67% humidity, and 40% chance of showers. The race day forecast is 69ºF, 58% humidity, and 40% chance of showers. Sunrise is at 6:04a. The weather sounds pretty good although it would be nice if the showers would push off. Given the choice between showers and hazy/hot/humid, I'd take the showers as long as we're not talking about a miserable downpour.
So, I'll replan my pace after this weekend's run, and continue to keep an eye on the forecast. But that's where things stand today.
One Month Done
5 years ago